Football betting has become more than just a hobby for many people around the world. With so much data available today, people who rely purely on team names or league tables are already at a disadvantage. That’s why it is very important to have access to different statistics that will help you make the right decision and we’ll show you all about that.
Team Format – Recent Performance Matters More than Reputation
One of the first stats that every online bettor needs to check before wagering on something is that team’s recent form. This is usually not difficult because you can find different sources, such as football stats and tips, and they will provide you with even more in-depth information. Once you have access to that, you will be in a much better position to decide whether the given site is worth using.
Examining the recent form will help you check the team’s wins and losses. You also have to check the goals scored and conceded, the quality of the opponents that the team has faced, and whether performances are improving or declining. These three components are essential and will help you make a much better decision when you start playing.
Home and Away Records
The next thing on the list that you have to consider before betting on a specific football team is the home and away records. Home advantage remains a powerful factor in football and it’s something that bookmakers also take into account. Some teams are more dominant at home, but they struggle badly away from their stadium. Usually, you can see it in the odds the given bookmaker gives them, but we believe it is worth checking the stats yourself.
Before placing a bet, go through the home win percentage vs the away win percentage. Check the goals scored at home vs away and the defensive records in different venues. This is crucial for match result bets, handicaps, and goal markets, as these are among the most common markets people bet on.
Goals Scored vs Conceded
Everyone knows that goals are at the heart of most football betting markets. We believe that analyzing them is a must, no matter which market you want to choose from and there are a few specific aspects you need to focus on.
For starters, you have to check the average goals scored and conceded per match. This is usually a strong indicator of a team’s attacking and defensive players and can help you a lot when using Over/Under markets, for example.
Checking whether there have been clean sheets and games without scoring is also very important. These stats are particularly valuable across a variety of markets, including Both Teams to Score and Correct Score bets. A team that scores regularly but concedes just as often may be ideal for goal-based markets rather than match winners.
Expected Goals
Also known as xG, this is one of those stats that many people underestimate, but it can make a big difference. Expected Goals have become a key metric that bettors use to measure the quality of chances created and conceded, rather than the goals themselves. It is a little bit more complicated, but it matters because people can check whether the team is overperforming or underperforming. It also removes some of the randomness from finishing and goalkeeping and helps identify which teams to wager on.
If a team is winning matches with very low xG, its results are not sustainable. However, if you spot that one of the football teams has strong xG but scores few goals, it means it is undervalued by the market.
H2H Stats
The next crucial stat that football bettors should analyze before wagering is head-to-head clashes. These stats are essential because they will reveal whether a specific team has issues against a particular opponents. Historical results between two teams may reveal tactical matchups or psychological edges, but squads, managers, and circumstances always change over time.
If you decide to dive deep into the H2H stats, focus on recent meetings, not results from years ago. We also believe it is worth considering whether the two teams’ styles remain similar. Most people will use these stats as supporting evidence, not as a basis for their bets.
Schedule Congestion and Fatigue
The last thing that football bettors worldwide should definitely consider is the workload-related stats. A lot of teams are playing in multiple events or face tight schedules and this may have an effect on the way they play.
Assuming you want to bet on a specific football team, we think you should dive deep into the number of recent matches, travel distance for away games, and recovery time between fixtures. All of these things can have a big impact on the way a given football team performs.